I could only guess 3 reasons why the Feds cut their rates, all of which has nothing to do with the economy:
- More transparency on the rates movement, as indicated a few weeks back by Ben Bernake. Since the last meeting they said they would cut rates, so they cut a token rate.
- Pressurizing China to raise their yuan
- Banks are in whole lot of deeper trouble than we realized
Due to this rate cut, I would say 3 things will happen very soon, within this month:
- Oil will hit USD100 and stay there
- All major commodities like wheat, corn all will rise further
- Possibility of stagflation is more real than ever, and inflation will hit very high this year
I really do hope that they are not making a political move to make China raise their yuan by lowering the USD. If this is so, that means that unless the yuan revalues upwards by a significant margin, US will keep cutting rates. You don't raise, I cut mentality. Maybe I think too much.
I hope the Feds are now happy that they stroke inflation even higher. Inflation hawk??? Yeah right... If we're "lucky", we will see stagflation in 3 years time.
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